Unnamed service
GET polynews.news/api/v1/election-forecast
Why an agent can trust this route.
Sonar evidence is advisory. Paid delivery is shown as verified only when paid probes are available; otherwise route estimates use the unpaid handshake as a clearly labeled proxy.
Observed outcomes
Grok-synthesized consensus forecast for candidate/party WINNER election markets (US and international). Blends live Polymarket odds (ground truth) with a polling average Grok synthesizes from multiple sources via web_search; returns per-candidate composites (equal-weight market+poll), the individual polls averaged into each candidate (verifiable), and cited sources. Target a market with a registered 'race' key or any Polymarket election event 'slug'.
Resource: polynews.news/api/v1/election-forecast
Network: eip155:8453, solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp · Asset: 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913 · Pay to: 0x6ee49a7872844397Fb52870Cc07b308fFADC9427
Payment methods: — · Last validation: 2026-10-15 11:48:38.325+00
{
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"race": {
"type": "string"
}
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"data": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"race": {
"type": "string"
},
"sources": {
"type": "array"
},
"summary": {
"type": "string"
},
"weights": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"poll": {
"type": "number"
},
"market": {
"type": "number"
}
}
},
"sentiment": {
"type": "string"
},
"candidates": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"name": {
"type": "string"
},
"polls": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"url": {
"type": "string"
},
"date": {
"type": "string"
},
"value": {
"type": "number",
"description": "This candidate's implied probability/share in this poll, 0-1"
},
"pollster": {
"type": "string"
}
}
},
"description": "Individual polls averaged into components.poll (poll == mean of values). Empty/absent when Grok found no specific polls."
},
"composite": {
"type": "number",
"description": "Blended probability 0-1 (equal-weight mean of market + poll)"
},
"components": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"poll": {
"type": "number"
},
"market": {
"type": "number"
}
}
}
}
}
},
"lastUpdated": {
"type": "string"
}
}
}
}
}
}
},
"paymentRequirements": [
{
"raw": {
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0x6ee49a7872844397Fb52870Cc07b308fFADC9427",
"amount": "60000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"payTo": "0x6ee49a7872844397Fb52870Cc07b308fFADC9427",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"amountAtomic": "60000"
},
{
"raw": {
"asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
"extra": {
"feePayer": "Hc3sdEAsCGQcpgfivywog9uwtk8gUBUZgsxdME1EJy88"
},
"payTo": "76xzzgua9K8985GqGMwB946zTFtHvjTd9MfGoTYfys3d",
"amount": "60000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
"asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
"payTo": "76xzzgua9K8985GqGMwB946zTFtHvjTd9MfGoTYfys3d",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"amountAtomic": "60000"
}
]
}Source catalog records are retained separately from live endpoint observations. Sonar score, uptime, and latency are advisory metrics. CDP indexing is not inferred from validation.